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NYT: Trump Leads in 5 Critical States

NYT: Trump in the Lead

NYT: Trump in the Lead

Don’t get cocky.  The election process is still shaky in many states.

President Biden is trailing Donald J. Trump in five of the six most important battleground states one year before the 2024 election, suffering from enormous doubts about his age and deep dissatisfaction over his handling of the economy and a host of other issues, new polls by The New York Times and Siena College have found.

Biden is clearly a feeble dotard and nobody is saying who is actually making presidential decisions.  The election is between Trump and the people behind the curtain.

It’s interesting the Ohio doesn’t show up as a battleground state anymore. 

This election will be interesting in that the primaries won’t matter.  Neither Biden or Trump are likely to get any primary challenges, hold any debates or present any policies.  Trump could be in jail and win just as Biden could be hidden away in his eldercare facility and win.

The old Democratic standbys can’t be counted on.

Voters under 30 — a group that strongly voted for Mr. Biden in 2020 — said they trusted Mr. Trump more on the economy by an extraordinary 28 percentage-point margin after years of inflation and now high interest rates that have made mortgages far less affordable.

Black voters — long a bulwark for Democrats and for Mr. Biden — are now registering 22 percent support in these states for Mr. Trump, a level unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times.

Voters under 30 favor Mr. Biden by only a single percentage point, his lead among Hispanic voters is down to single digits and his advantage in urban areas is half of Mr. Trump’s edge in rural regions.

For the most part:

Legal immigrants are not in favor of an unsecure Southern border.

Urban Blacks did not burn down their own neighborhoods when Antifa and BLM came to town to riot.

Women don’t want men in their restrooms and locker rooms and would like their daughters to have the opportunity to compete fairly.

Young people can be chaotic and irresponsible, but aspire to join a functioning society when they eventually dummy up.

Extraction Part 4

Red River Valley Campground

Even with WiFi at Madison Campground, once Sparky was settled, there wasn’t much to do, so I went to bed around 9:30.  Even though it was 38o F at night, the electric heater kept it warm enough.  I woke up around 3:30 am, and didn’t think I’d go back to sleep.  On this mission, driving and sleeping  were the only productive activities, so I decided to leave for Fargo.

The campground in Fargo didn’t take reservations, so that might not work out.  I took a hot shower, since there may not get another chance for a while.

Along with no campground reservation, I expected a shit-show in Fargo.  Horus is not a practical man and we were picking up his stuff from his ex-girlfriend’s place, so it wouldn’t be simple.

Three hours away, I called Horus to let him know when I’d be in, and he texted the address of the apartment where he was temporarily staying.

By 1:30 pm, I met up with Horus.  He had broken up with the ex, but they were still friendly.  She wouldn’t be available until after 5 pm, so we decided to check out the campground.  I’d prefer to tow the trailer to her house to load up, but setting up camp in daylight was appealing.

The campground looked like the photo above, but with no RV’s, office, grass, people or restrooms.  It was a gravel lot with a few electricity posts.  It looked too shady, so we didn’t stay there.

My cosmopolitan niece had told me that she couldn’t find an open campground, but maybe she was slacking.  She wasn’t.  It was much colder and desolate in Fargo than I had anticipated.  The only campground that nephew Horus and I could find was a Sheyenne Oaks RV park about 45 miles away.  We booked a spot.

Sheyenne Oaks is very nice.  It’s a place where bring their horses to camp.  There are corrals, pines, barns, and little streams.  Sheyenne Oaks looks like this, but with the tree leaves down.   It took two dirt roads to get there, but they had hot showers.  I have no idea what this place costs.

After setting up the camper, we drove to the ex’s apartment.  As we waited for her to arrive, Horus’s Iphone was dying and we didn’t have a cord to charge it, so he used mine to text her.  My phone displayed a “Moisture detected, can’t charge” message, with 9% battery left.  With both phones dead, we waited for the ex.  She arrived about an hour later than we expected.

She seemed nice enough, but everything wasn’t settled.  The ex pointed out that Horus had neglected to bring boxes for his books and belongings.  They also hadn’t decided who gets what, so that was uncomfortable.  I took a milk crate of albums down to my truck and stayed there.

A practical person would have boxed up all of his stuff, and had it staged in one accessible place so we could load it and get out without a departure scene, but this was close to what was anticipated.

On a positive note, Horus didn’t complain about me not helping with the load up and he didn’t insist on telling me about the fraught relationship.

Back at Sheyenne Oaks, Horus arranged the cargo as I ate prison salad. 

On the way, we stopped so Horus could pick up a cable to charge his phone.  Nothing I did with my phone helped. 

It went down to 28o F, and the electric heater only got the interior up to about 65o F.  The ex had confiscated the comforter, so Horus had a cold night with only his coat and cotton blanket. 

By 7 am, we were showered and ready to head down to Wisconsin Dells.  This is a nice state park in a resort area, so I’m looking forward to setting up camp and having the next day free to take some hikes with Sparky.

BBC: Racist Birds to be renamed.

BBC: Bird names will be changed

Several bird species in the US and Canada will receive new names based on their habitats and traits rather than people’s names, the American Ornithological Society has announced.

“Exclusionary naming conventions developed in the 1800s, clouded by racism and misogyny, don’t work for us today, and the time has come for us to transform this process and redirect the focus to the birds, where it belongs,” the society’s CEO, Judith Scarl, said in a statement.

How do these people keep sneaking in?

Dr. Scarl has a strong passion for and commitment to diversity, equity, inclusion, and justice in science and conservation, indispensable assets to help diversify the society. Her extensive connections with a broad network of conservation partners, her deep understanding of the need to support students and early-career professionals, and her passion for expanding inclusivity and equity in the field of ornithology will drive key areas of program development for the society.

Oh, she was invited in.  The American Ornithological Society was looking for this when they were searching for a new CEO.  I added the bold font to this passage from the American Ornithological Society .

I couldn’t name a bird that is named after a person, but believe that history and tradition are important.  Nobody really cares that a bird is named after a racist.  DIE radicals like Dr. Scarl should be driven out of society.

Earlier this year the National Audubon Society, a bird conservation organisation, decided to retain its name despite a push for a change.

James John Audubon, a famous American naturalist and wildlife illustrator, also owned slaves and held “harmful attitudes toward Black and Indigenous people”, the NAS has acknowledged.

Good for the National Audubon Society.  The organization wasn’t named after him because he owned slaves.  He was a renowned wildlife illustrator and shouldn’t be a role model for how to treat Black and Indigenous people.

“The name has come to represent so much more than the work of one person, but a broader love of birds and nature, and a non-partisan approach to conservation,”  Susan Bell, who is on the society’s board, said.

Good for you Dr. Scarl.  You just took something that nobody gave two shits about and made it a contentious and partisan issue.  A moderate approach would be to grandfather the old names and use the new naming convention for new species of birds. 

May the woke American Ornithological Society lose influence and credibility as it eventually dies.

Extraction Part 3

Google says the first leg of the trip is 502 miles and should take less than 8 hours.  I’m skeptical.

With the camper and Sparky, I’m guessing 10 hours, so we were on the road at 6:30 am.  I used to leave for school at 6:30 every morning, so I know it’s not early, but now it feels like 0-dark stupid.

Sparky loves car rides, but I don’t know why.  He usually just sits there and stares at me.  He’s thinking driving can’t be too hard if I can do it.  Since I’ve caved on almost everything else, he knows I will let him drive eventually.  Ten hours in a car is a long time for anyone.

Towing the camper, I find my range at 65 mph is 150 miles.  That gives a little safety margin.  It also gives Sparky a break every few hours.

Sparky pretty much just sleeps.  He and I have the same morning attitude.  Wake up after sunrise, then shamble around for as long as it takes.  Our first stop was the last travel plaza before entering Indiana.  Sparky took a big dump, marked some trees, and reluctantly got back in the truck.

That was around 9 am, so Sparky got a bowl of breakfast.  He didn’t touch it.  For the rest of the trip, he didn’t eat or drink anything.  It’s like he went into hibernation mode.  On our way through Indiana, I had prison salad and a picked egg for lunch, and found it entirely sufficient. 

In Elkhart, Indiana, we passed an RV and Motor Home Museum and Hall of Fame.  I really want to see that.  I’ve been to the Louvre and most the good Smithsonian museums, and they were nice.  A good RV museum would be up there with a museum of flying saucers and jet packs.  Maybe on the way back.  Or a different trip, whatever, I’m going.

I had considered a route that bypassed Chicago, but it was complicated, so I stayed on I-90.  That was a charlie-foxtrot, but no car accidents or wrong turns, so that’s a win.

Madison Campground is not called a resort or park because it’s about the size and shape of a baseball field in the middle of an industrial park.  That’s fine because it’s a 1000 ft off the highway and surrounded by the types of restaurants that people go to for a quick lunch.  Sparky and I took a nice walk around the U-Store-It place next door. 

On the other side of the highway, there is a tourist attraction called the Pink Elephant.  It has a 4.5 star rating, so after setting up camp, we had to check it out.

Sparky still had road-face, so he’s not at his best.  I took some photos that looked like the elephant was pooping him out, but Sparky didn’t think it was very dignified.  He asked me not to post those.

Here is the photo, cropped to remove the pooping context.  From Sparky’s expression, you can see that he remains stoic, but doesn’t understand why we can’t live in our house anymore.

The Madison Campground would be a nice campground for a Soviet Bloc housing complex.  It has all the amenities, but they are like the Pink Elephant.  There is a dog park, but Sparky resented my attempt to get him to play with Mr. Moose in there.  He blamed me for the obstacle course made from pallets and the dog shit that wasn’t picked up.

We went back to the camper and had a quiet night.  Playing fetch in a 16 foot box isn’t easy.  By throwing Mr. Moose on to the little shelf, Sparky had to go into his lair, and jump just right to retrieve his buddy.  , Sparky appreciated my attempts to make it interesting. 

His appetite came back and he ate his daily allotment. 

WSJ: Americans in a Rotten Mood.

WSJ: The Economy is Great

WSJ: The Economy is Great

So if the economy is so good, why are Americans so gloomy? Confidence readings are depressed. Some 69% of respondents to a Wall Street Journal survey in August said the country is headed in the wrong direction. President Biden’s approval ratings are mired around or below 40%, and approval for his handling of the economy is even lower.

When the government and media have been lying to us about everything else, why should we believe them about the economy?

Continue reading

Extraction Part 2

Prison Salad

After agreeing to go to Fargo to get my nephew Horus,   Extraction Part 1, there was much that could go wrong.

My nephew Horus is a bohemian.  He isn’t necessarily practical and wants this to be an adventure.  I called it an “extraction” to emphasize that my mission is to go to Fargo and return to Ohio with my client and his stuff.  No side trips, sight seeing, linking up with friends or other messing about.  Using pseudo-military terms  was a persuasive tactic.  The extraction would be a little grueling so Horus appreciates the experience.

Being responsible for a bohemian is like being a bodyguard for a celebrity.  Don’t expect the client to be helpful.  Horus is actually my grand-nephew.  His aunt is my cosmopolitan niece.  She should be part of the extraction, so she was given the role of “logistical support”.  Her job was to make our arrangements.

It would be easy to stay in hotels to get a good night’s sleep, but that seems inauthentic.  Niece Cosmo was asked to book campgrounds and investigate Walmarts or other alternatives for spending the night.

Cosmo booked an RV park outside Chicago for my first night.  That is only 300 miles along a 1000 mile trip, so I was a worried that she wasn’t thinking this through.  Also, I was late in researching my route, so she didn’t have much to go on.

Cosmo cancelled the reservation and found an RV park near Madison, Wisconsin.  Almost exactly half-way to Fargo.  She was having trouble finding RV parks that are open so late in the season.  In Fargo, she found an RV park that didn’t take reservations.  That is pretty shaky, so she is looking for alternatives.  On the way home, she booked two nights at Devil’s Lake State Park in Wisconsin.  That looks really nice.  I asked for a free day to rest up and maybe hike around a bit in the Wisconsin Dells.

When I did start researching the trip, I found that temperatures in Fargo have been 20o F at night.  It’s been 70o F in Cleveland.  I winterized the camper so we won’t have any fresh water in the tank.

Each leg of the trip is 500 miles.  Google calls that 8 hours.  With the camper, driving speed won’t be above 65 mph and am planning on 10 mpg.  I will need to stop for gas every 2 1/2 hours, which is also good for Sparky getting a break.  More likely that each leg will take 10 hours.

I don’t want to waste time buying food when I stop for gas and four days of eating gas station food would be excruciating.

I will pack a cooler with grapes, picked eggs and honey-roasted peanuts, but that doesn’t seem sufficient.

Sheriff Joe Arpaio in Arizona was once famous for giving prisoners what they needed, rather than what they wanted.  He used to serve “prison loaf”, a bread loaf with baked in vegetables, beans, a little meat and whatever else it took to make it nutritionally complete and convenient, but not necessarily tasty. 

I am making 6 pints of prison salad.  Ham and mozzarella balls for protein, broccoli and cherry tomatoes for fiber and ditalini pasta for carbs.  With Italian dressing, it tastes pretty good. 

WSJ: Buying a house could cost less.

WSJ: Realty Commissions

WSJ: Realty Commissions

In recent years, technology has made a host of consumer transactions cheaper—from booking a vacation to buying stocks—but commission rates for selling a home haven’t really budged. That could soon change.

When I started working for real in the 1980’s, brokerage houses charged a minimum fee of $35 to buy or sell stocks.  For small purchases, that was a big commission.  Now, it’s virtually free to buy or sell.  That opened the stock market to almost anyone. 

Since dad worked for American Airlines, we didn’t book flights, but flew stand-by.  That was ludicrously cheap.  As I recall, we only paid the excise tax.  A flight to LAX might be $8.   For business trips at Caterpillar, we had an in-house American Express travel agent.  She was a dirty bird, but that’s not relevant.  Travel was handled by travel agents who received incentives from airlines, hotels and other rental car companies.  People could book travel directly, but they paid full fare.  Some travel agents remain, but they exist for their expertise in destination travel.

Home buyers rarely pay their agents. Instead, sellers pay their own agents, who in turn share their commissions with the buyer’s representative. In the typical transaction, total agent commissions are 5% to 6% of the sale price. For a $400,000 home purchase, that is roughly $20,000, split two ways.

For decades, it wasn’t clear what value realtors added to earn their 7% commission on the first $100k.  Both homes I’ve purchased were through realtors because I didn’t pay the commission.  Twenty years ago, I sold my home myself to save the commission.  It wasn’t difficult, and paying the commission would have eaten up any appreciation of the property.

The plaintiffs in the class actions, who are home sellers in different regions of the country, say the longstanding industry rules amount to a conspiracy to keep costs high in violation of U.S. antitrust law. Buyers, they say, have little incentive to negotiate with their agents because they don’t pay them directly, while sellers are loath to experiment with a lower commission rate for fear that agents will steer clients away from their home.

When selling a home, it makes more sense to pay someone to help stage the house, a small amount to add the home to the MLS, an hourly rate to show the home and if necessary, a commission to negotiate the deal.

When buying a home, it doesn’t make sense to have both agents paid by the seller.  Both agents only want to close the deal, with little regard for the interests of the buyer or seller.  Getting any deal is better for them than getting the best deal.  As a buyer, I don’t need a realtor for anything.  I can search the MLS, look at houses and negotiate my own deal.  Buyers that want an agent for some aspects of the process can pay for the services that are needed.

The realty market has been a protection racket for a long time.  It will confuse some people to see it change, but that is long overdue.

Extraction Part 1

My occult nephew called. 

Harry Dresden and Sandman Slim agree that knowing an entity’s true name gives power.  I don’t know if the true name is just somebody’s real name or has something to do with pronouns, so he agreed to be referred to as “nephew Horus”.  Horus is his spirit animal or familiar or some damn thing.  Nephew Horus could explain it, but that might not help.

Nephew Horus is very intelligent1 .  Having taught AP Physics for 17 years and teaching at a summer camp for genius children, I am skeptical when a colleague would tell me that a particular student is very intelligent.  Early in my career, I was told that a student I’d have the following year, Tim, was very intelligent. 

After I’d had Tim for a year, I told Tim that “everyone says that he is very intelligent, but he might just be weird”.   Ten years later, Tim came back to visit after making a pile of money working for Microsoft and prior to moving to Japan for a new position.  He recalled that conversation, and agreed that he wasn’t smart, just weird.

Nephew Horus directs his intelligence toward the occult and fringe, and away from practical skills.  I have another nephew who is not academically-minded, but has an aptitude for practical skills.  He likes to work and is kind of a hoss, so we’ll call him nephew Horse.

If I had a problem with my house, I’d call nephew Horse since he can fix problems with drywall, plumbing, excavation or concrete.  If my house had a problem with me, I’d call nephew Horus since he can fix problems with hexes, evil spirits or bad juju.

Nephew Horus is currently in Fargo, and wants to return to Ohio after a failed romance.  When he told me that he didn’t have a credit card, I was ready for him to ask for money.  Instead, he asked if I’d consider flying to Fargo, renting a vehicle, and driving home with him.  Expenses would be covered by a third party.  His request was consistent with my retirement plan to be useful to my extended family, so I considered it.

Rather than fly out, this was an opportunity to try a long trip with the camper and Sparky.

My camper is a toy hauler, so has a loading ramp and open floor space.  Along with my truck, all of Horus’s positions could be loaded.  Checking Google Maps, Fargo didn’t look too far.  It’s just on the other side of Lake Superior, a thousand miles from home.  The trip would be all highway with pretty flat terrain.

Footnote:

Intelligent1 :  In the sense that someone can absorb new knowledge and understand novel concepts.  The kind of thing that is revealed on an ACT or SAT.  Being intelligent doesn’t make someone a better person, wiser or more likely to live a good life.

Washington Free Press: Deviants run the State Department

Washington Free Press: State Department Intersex Announcement

Today in celebration and recognition of Intersex Awareness Day, we affirm the United States’ commitment to promoting and protecting the human rights of Intersex persons globally.

With the war in Ukraine, the war in the Gaza Strip, and the rest of the world feeling shaky, the State Department must have something more important to do.

It seems like people obsessed with sexual dysfunction are in charge at the State Department.

What does “intersex” mean?  I don’t know or care because I don’t know anyone with that condition.  Doing some research, the  National Institute of Biotechnology Information  says it’s 0.017 % of the population.  That’s what the government said in 2002, but now that degenerates run the government and corporations, they try to convince us that it’s more like 1.7% of the population.  Wouldn’t we all know some intersex people if that were the case?

Why does the State Department need to ‘promote’ intersex people?  Did an intersex person get promoted all the way to the top of the State Department?

I grow weary of the perverts and sex fiends who seem to run everything.

AutoZone changes with the times.

Just returned from a trip to AutoZone and it was some kind of sign of the times.

The cashier looked to be about 17 years-old, and was pierced in all the normal abnormal places.  When I asked her to look up the oil filter for my truck, she was attentive and competent. She did say “fuck” much more than one would expect from a cashier.   She was new to the job, so asked her colleague to help her with the oil special I wanted.  

The colleague had the same 110 lb, 17 year-old girl look, but sported a hipster cap with some kind of band name.  The way they interacted, she seemed like a skate punk who got her girlfriend a job. 

While the cashier was fetching the oil filter, the colleague explained how the specials worked at AutoZone and how often they changed.  What oil filter goes with what kind of oil, that kind of relevant and useful info.

As I was leaving, the cashier said, “Have a nice day.”  Being the chatty type, I responded with a laconic, “I’m changing the oil, how much fun am I going to have?”   She said, “Well, at least you aren’t doing tires or brakes.” 

That was a nice, knowledgeable and optimistic response.

It got me thinking that if alternative girls are the future for AutoZone, that’s okay with me.  They were as competent and personable as you’d want.

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